Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +22.8% FO% edge overall. Jarvis wins 29.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarvis 40.5% vs Crosby 56.6% (-22.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 62.1%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 53.4%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 63.5%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Jarvis
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jarvis
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarvis
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Jarvis
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarvis
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
32.1% (81)
56.2% (1,451)
-24.1%
Power Play
38.6% (57)
61.4% (293)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
55.3% (38)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Jarvis shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Jarvis
Crosby
Home
40.6% (69)
59.1% (939)
Away
28.9% (83)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Jarvis
Crosby
P1
30.9%
54.9%
P2
30.6%
60.8%
P3
47.1%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
28.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |