Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Jarvis wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarvis 42.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarvis 72.4%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 82.2%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 82.3%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Jarvis
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Jarvis
Crosby
Last 10: Jarvis 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Jarvis
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jarvis
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarvis
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (343)
52.8% (17,883)
-11.4%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
57.3% (4,702)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (156)
47.1% (765)
-8.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jarvis is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Jarvis shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,617).
Home / Away
Jarvis
Crosby
Home
43.5% (333)
55.0% (11,901)
Away
38.2% (285)
52.0% (11,468)
By Period
Jarvis
Crosby
P1
39.5%
53.7%
P2
38.8%
53.8%
P3
46.1%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarvis
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.1%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |