Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Pinto 50.1% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 91.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 77.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Hughes
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Pinto
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
4
Hughes
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
50.4% (779)
-12.5%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
55.2% (29)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
44.9% (78)
-8.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pinto
Home
36.6% (314)
52.4% (454)
Away
38.5% (353)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Hughes
Pinto
P1
36.4%
48.1%
P2
35.6%
52.9%
P3
41.8%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |