Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 54.9% vs Pinto 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pinto 64.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Aho
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Aho
Pinto
Last 6: Aho 2-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Aho
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Aho
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (870)
50.4% (779)
+4.1%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
55.2% (29)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
44.9% (78)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Aho shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Aho
Pinto
Home
53.9% (603)
52.4% (454)
Away
56.8% (595)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Aho
Pinto
P1
54.1%
48.1%
P2
55.0%
52.9%
P3
57.4%
49.3%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |