Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.7% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 92.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 56.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 79.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Pinto
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Pinto
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
0
Pinto
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (520)
56.1% (342)
-5.9%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
53.3% (92)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
62.5% (8)
-13.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Pinto shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Pinto
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (301)
53.4% (208)
Away
52.6% (333)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Pinto
Stamkos
P1
51.2%
55.6%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
59.1%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |