Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pinto wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 72.6%
Neutral zone
Pinto 54.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Pinto
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pinto
Stamkos
Last 7: Pinto 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pinto
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pinto
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (463)
55.9% (499)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.3% (126)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
58.3% (12)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Pinto shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Pinto
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (205)
55.3% (349)
Away
49.5% (291)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Pinto
Stamkos
P1
48.7%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
59.2%
P3
51.2%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |