Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 81.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Pinto
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pinto
Stamkos
Last 6: Pinto 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Pinto
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Pinto
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pinto
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (779)
49.3% (670)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
53.7% (121)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
33.3% (3)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Pinto shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Pinto
Stamkos
Home
52.4% (454)
54.0% (400)
Away
47.7% (432)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Pinto
Stamkos
P1
48.1%
48.6%
P2
52.9%
54.5%
P3
49.3%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |