Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 51.9% vs Novak 45.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 56.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Pinto
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pinto
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (825)
43.8% (384)
+8.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.8% (17)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
100.0% (1)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Pinto shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Pinto
Novak
Home
52.8% (453)
46.5% (202)
Away
51.3% (409)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Pinto
Novak
P1
49.0%
49.2%
P2
53.5%
44.2%
P3
53.7%
40.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |