Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.3% vs Novak 43.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 66.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 96.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 88.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Pinto
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Pinto
Novak
Last 10: Pinto 9-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
5
1
Pinto
Novak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
1
Pinto
Novak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,716)
42.1% (1,539)
+8.5%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
51.9% (133)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (234)
50.0% (2)
-5.1%
On even strength, Pinto has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Pinto shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Pinto
Novak
Home
50.9% (1,501)
45.3% (814)
Away
49.6% (1,539)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Pinto
Novak
P1
48.3%
43.9%
P2
51.7%
42.8%
P3
50.9%
41.7%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |