Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Wright 41.4% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Fantilli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Fantilli
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
39.5% (453)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
42.4% (59)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
0.0% (1)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Wright
Home
50.8% (472)
39.5% (286)
Away
49.2% (480)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Fantilli
Wright
P1
47.8%
39.9%
P2
52.7%
37.1%
P3
50.0%
42.9%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Shane Wright |