Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Wright 41.4% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 54.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Eller
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Eller
Wright
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
4
Eller
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
39.5% (453)
+17.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
42.4% (59)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
0.0% (1)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Eller
Wright
Home
53.1% (211)
39.5% (286)
Away
59.7% (278)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Eller
Wright
P1
55.4%
39.9%
P2
58.1%
37.1%
P3
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |