Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Wright 45.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 77.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 87.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Dowd
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dowd
Wright
Last 7: Dowd 6-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
43.9% (758)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.7% (67)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
40.0% (5)
+4.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Dowd
Wright
Home
51.5% (619)
46.3% (406)
Away
48.1% (576)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Dowd
Wright
P1
51.7%
46.8%
P2
51.6%
42.6%
P3
47.0%
44.4%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Shane Wright |