Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shane Wright

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Wright 41.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Wright 66.9%
Defensive zone Wright 56.3%
Neutral zone Wright 60.6%
Result Shane Wright favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
Last 7: Nugent-Hopkins 3-4 Wright

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins Wright
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
39.5% (453)
+8.1%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
42.4% (59)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +40.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Home
51.2% (164)
39.5% (286)
Away
43.0% (100)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
P1
50.0%
39.9%
P2
46.2%
37.1%
P3
49.5%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
40.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
48.1%
Wright
44.0%
42.5%
39.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 29, 2025 3 05:26 Neutral Shane Wright
Nov 29, 2025 2 12:30 Neutral Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 3 08:53 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 25, 2025 2 08:15 Offensive Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 2 01:46 Neutral Shane Wright
Oct 25, 2025 1 14:48 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 25, 2025 1 01:23 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins