Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dries 49.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 73.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 82.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 78.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Dries
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dries
Zegras
Last 5: Dries 0-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Dries
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dries
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
41.1% (559)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.0% (60)
50.0% (12)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Dries has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Dries shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Dries
Zegras
Home
54.3% (265)
45.7% (247)
Away
44.2% (206)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Dries
Zegras
P1
45.8%
45.5%
P2
54.3%
36.8%
P3
49.0%
41.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |