Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dries 49.4% vs Zegras 39.2% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 84.6%
Defensive zone
Zegras 72.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 84.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Dries
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dries
Zegras
Last 5: Dries 0-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Dries
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Dries
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dries
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
38.6% (1,669)
+9.9%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
38.5% (148)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
28.6% (7)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dries is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Dries shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Dries
Zegras
Home
52.6% (363)
39.9% (882)
Away
45.1% (288)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Dries
Zegras
P1
46.7%
40.2%
P2
51.4%
38.0%
P3
49.5%
37.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |