Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 81.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 78.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 75.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Fantilli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Fantilli
Crosby
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Fantilli
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
4
Fantilli
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
Fantilli
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
52.8% (17,990)
-8.1%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
47.1% (765)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Crosby
Home
47.3% (1,178)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Fantilli
Crosby
P1
44.0%
53.6%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
45.9%
53.3%
OT
24.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |