Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 69.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Grant
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Grant
Crosby
Last 9: Grant 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Grant
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
50.8% (1,169)
-1.7%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
60.2% (261)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
45.0% (20)
+0.3%
On power play, Grant has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Grant
Crosby
Home
49.8% (223)
53.2% (726)
Away
47.2% (197)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Grant
Crosby
P1
43.9%
51.3%
P2
49.7%
52.1%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |