Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 71.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 81.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Nazar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nazar
Crosby
Last 8: Nazar 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nazar
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nazar
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
1
Nazar
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
53.7% (984)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
64.7% (241)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
64.3% (14)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Nazar
Crosby
Home
45.0% (329)
56.9% (649)
Away
47.2% (375)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Nazar
Crosby
P1
47.2%
55.8%
P2
43.1%
53.2%
P3
46.8%
58.7%
OT
75.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |