Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Crosby 57.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 64.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 77.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Crosby
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
57.8% (1,437)
-11.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
60.9% (381)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
50.0% (54)
-12.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
50.6% (330)
59.2% (985)
Away
39.7% (320)
57.2% (887)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
45.4%
57.3%
P2
44.5%
59.5%
P3
45.7%
58.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |