Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 73.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 88.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 77.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McBain
Crosby
Last 6: McBain 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
McBain
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
56.2% (1,451)
-5.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
61.4% (293)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
55.3% (38)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
53.6% (235)
59.1% (939)
Away
46.0% (224)
54.7% (843)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
48.6%
54.9%
P2
50.9%
60.8%
P3
50.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |