Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Crosby 49.9% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 76.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 89.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayes
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
49.4% (1,194)
-12.3%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
52.6% (350)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
43.4% (53)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
36.7% (354)
51.3% (776)
Away
35.8% (327)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
33.6%
50.5%
P2
38.3%
51.3%
P3
37.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |