Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Crosby 48.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hayes
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
3
Hayes
Crosby
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
46.8% (1,360)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
53.8% (357)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
45.2% (31)
+0.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
46.6% (459)
51.0% (867)
Away
44.8% (509)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
43.0%
50.8%
P2
49.5%
47.9%
P3
44.7%
46.5%
OT
28.6%
35.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | OT | 03:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |