Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 71.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 81.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Hayes
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
0
Hayes
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
3
Hayes
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
50.8% (1,169)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
60.2% (261)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
45.0% (20)
+0.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
43.5% (232)
53.2% (726)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
40.1%
51.3%
P2
44.8%
52.1%
P3
42.4%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |