Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 84.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 85.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Barzal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Barzal
Crosby
Last 7: Barzal 0-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Barzal
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Barzal
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Barzal
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (516)
54.7% (1,423)
-12.8%
Power Play
40.0% (60)
62.1% (327)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.8% (76)
-15.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Barzal shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Barzal
Crosby
Home
46.9% (303)
56.2% (907)
Away
35.7% (277)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Barzal
Crosby
P1
39.9%
55.7%
P2
45.1%
55.0%
P3
39.9%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
70.4%
Final 5 min
38.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |