Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 55.6% vs Crosby 52.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Thompson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thompson
Crosby
Last 7: Thompson 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Thompson
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (482)
52.5% (1,479)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
55.7% (397)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (154)
47.5% (59)
+4.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Thompson shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Thompson
Crosby
Home
59.0% (327)
54.9% (993)
Away
53.7% (311)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Thompson
Crosby
P1
54.2%
52.2%
P2
61.3%
53.2%
P3
53.9%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |