Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Thompson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thompson
Crosby
Last 6: Thompson 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Thompson
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
54.7% (1,423)
-0.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
62.1% (327)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
40.8% (76)
+10.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Thompson shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Thompson
Crosby
Home
55.6% (329)
56.2% (907)
Away
52.4% (431)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Thompson
Crosby
P1
55.3%
55.7%
P2
48.1%
55.0%
P3
58.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |