Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 42.0% vs Crosby 48.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 82.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 73.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Zacha
Crosby
Last 8: Zacha 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Zacha
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Zacha
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (399)
46.8% (1,360)
-5.9%
Power Play
39.5% (43)
53.8% (357)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
45.2% (31)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
41.4% (261)
51.0% (867)
Away
38.8% (196)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
38.6%
50.8%
P2
44.4%
47.9%
P3
36.9%
46.5%
OT
66.7%
35.1%
Final 5 min
38.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |