Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 79.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 65.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Zacha
Crosby
Last 8: Zacha 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
52.5% (1,443)
-7.2%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
54.7% (369)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
55.9% (34)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
39.7% (131)
53.0% (931)
Away
49.7% (165)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
42.9%
50.3%
P2
46.4%
55.4%
P3
42.3%
53.3%
OT
87.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |