Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Johansen wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Johansen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Johansen
Crosby
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
7
Johansen
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
6
Johansen
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,149)
54.7% (1,423)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.7% (191)
62.1% (327)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
40.8% (76)
+7.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Johansen shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Johansen
Crosby
Home
52.5% (739)
56.2% (907)
Away
54.6% (722)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Johansen
Crosby
P1
53.8%
55.7%
P2
55.8%
55.0%
P3
51.2%
54.9%
OT
52.4%
70.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |