Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sidney Crosby
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Crosby 57.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 59.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 84.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Last 7: Nugent-Hopkins 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
60.9% (381)
-60.9%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
50.0% (54)
-14.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Home
50.8% (258)
59.2% (985)
Away
44.9% (234)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
P1
51.6%
57.3%
P2
45.2%
59.5%
P3
47.6%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |