Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Monahan
Crosby
Last 6: Monahan 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Monahan
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Monahan
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Monahan
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
52.5% (1,443)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
54.7% (369)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
55.9% (34)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
53.5% (144)
53.0% (931)
Away
56.5% (177)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
52.5%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
55.4%
P3
60.8%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |