Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jarvis wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarvis 45.8% vs Crosby 57.8% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.8%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 85.3%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 68.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Jarvis
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jarvis
Crosby
Last 9: Jarvis 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Jarvis
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
3
0
Jarvis
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarvis
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (171)
57.8% (1,437)
-11.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
60.9% (381)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (127)
50.0% (54)
-10.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Jarvis shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Jarvis
Crosby
Home
46.1% (204)
59.2% (985)
Away
42.6% (148)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Jarvis
Crosby
P1
42.5%
57.3%
P2
42.9%
59.5%
P3
48.7%
58.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |