Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 49.9% vs Johnson 48.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 62.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 72.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Crosby
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Crosby
Johnson
Last 8: Crosby 6-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
0
Crosby
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,194)
49.5% (828)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.6% (350)
54.9% (142)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
36.8% (133)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Crosby is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Crosby shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnson
Home
51.3% (776)
50.7% (564)
Away
48.6% (821)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Crosby
Johnson
P1
50.5%
51.2%
P2
51.3%
47.5%
P3
47.8%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |