Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 51 meetings). Crosby wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 70-47 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 76.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 84.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Crosby
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
70
-
47
(117 meetings)
70
47
Crosby
Johnson
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
24
14
Crosby
Johnson
38 total
Defensive Zone
Even
14
14
Crosby
Johnson
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
32
19
Crosby
Johnson
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
54.6% (885)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
42.3% (707)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Crosby shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnson
Home
55.0% (11,972)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Crosby
Johnson
P1
53.6%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
50.6%
P3
53.3%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |