Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.3% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Crosby
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,169)
61.9% (42)
-11.1%
Power Play
60.2% (261)
55.6% (9)
+4.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Crosby shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnson
Home
53.2% (726)
52.0% (25)
Away
51.7% (724)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Crosby
Johnson
P1
51.3%
72.0%
P2
52.1%
66.7%
P3
54.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%