Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Crosby wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Johnson 48.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 77.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 86.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Crosby
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Crosby
Johnson
Last 6: Crosby 5-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Crosby
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
0
Crosby
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,423)
49.4% (399)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.1% (327)
52.9% (34)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
37.5% (40)
+3.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Crosby shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnson
Home
56.2% (907)
49.8% (229)
Away
54.6% (919)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Crosby
Johnson
P1
55.7%
45.0%
P2
55.0%
49.1%
P3
54.9%
50.3%
OT
70.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |