Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Crosby wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Johnson 49.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Crosby
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Crosby
Johnson
Last 10: Crosby 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Crosby
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Crosby
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
2
Crosby
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (676)
47.2% (286)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.7% (171)
61.8% (55)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
33.3% (12)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Crosby shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnson
Home
57.7% (454)
55.0% (151)
Away
53.5% (434)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Crosby
Johnson
P1
55.9%
42.3%
P2
53.0%
56.2%
P3
57.7%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |