Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 63.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 60.2%
Neutral zone
Krebs 65.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Krebs
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Krebs
Lorentz
Last 6: Krebs 0-6 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Krebs
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Krebs
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
3
Krebs
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (501)
48.3% (497)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
63.6% (11)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (35)
38.5% (39)
-1.4%
On power play, Lorentz has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Krebs shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Krebs
Lorentz
Home
43.9% (285)
50.4% (238)
Away
46.5% (271)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Krebs
Lorentz
P1
45.4%
49.1%
P2
50.9%
48.0%
P3
39.7%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |