Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Stamkos 49.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 55.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Jenner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Jenner
Stamkos
Last 9: Jenner 5-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Jenner
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
48.7% (831)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
53.5% (86)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
69.2% (26)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jenner is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Jenner shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stamkos
Home
55.8% (138)
52.5% (474)
Away
44.0% (168)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Jenner
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
46.3%
P2
47.2%
52.0%
P3
48.0%
51.2%
OT
44.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |