Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 77.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Jenner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Jenner
Stamkos
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Jenner
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Jenner
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
55.9% (499)
-1.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
56.3% (126)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
58.3% (12)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (512)
55.3% (349)
Away
55.4% (601)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Jenner
Stamkos
P1
55.0%
57.0%
P2
54.5%
59.2%
P3
53.6%
51.5%
OT
52.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |