Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 55.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Staal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Stamkos
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Staal
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Staal
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
49.9% (771)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
55.4% (74)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
45.1% (82)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Staal is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Staal shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Staal
Stamkos
Home
56.0% (414)
50.7% (487)
Away
50.0% (428)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Staal
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
46.1%
P2
56.3%
52.0%
P3
53.9%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
58.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |