Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.5% vs Stamkos 50.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Couture
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Couture
Stamkos
Last 5: Couture 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (527)
49.9% (771)
-2.3%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
55.4% (74)
-55.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
45.1% (82)
+1.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couture is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Couture shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Couture
Stamkos
Home
48.2% (309)
50.7% (487)
Away
45.7% (267)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Couture
Stamkos
P1
42.9%
46.1%
P2
49.0%
52.0%
P3
50.6%
51.1%
OT
20.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Logan Couture |