Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 72.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 71.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
McTavish
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McTavish
Stamkos
Last 5: McTavish 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
McTavish
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McTavish
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
55.9% (499)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
56.3% (126)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
58.3% (12)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
52.0% (454)
55.3% (349)
Away
51.4% (391)
56.9% (288)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
57.0%
P2
50.4%
59.2%
P3
53.3%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |