Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Stamkos 52.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Bonino
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bonino
Stamkos
Last 5: Bonino 5-0 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
51.4% (725)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
53.7% (123)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
61.4% (44)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Bonino shoots left. Stamkos is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stamkos
Home
56.5% (531)
53.3% (426)
Away
51.7% (439)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Bonino
Stamkos
P1
56.7%
56.6%
P2
48.1%
48.2%
P3
58.0%
52.7%
OT
52.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |