Nicklas Backstrom vs Steven Stamkos
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.9% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Backstrom
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backstrom
Stamkos
Last 5: Backstrom 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Backstrom
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Backstrom
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (496)
45.6% (1,055)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.6% (151)
46.6% (116)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
42.1% (38)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backstrom is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Backstrom shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (368)
48.4% (636)
Away
48.3% (323)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Backstrom
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
45.7%
P2
51.0%
46.8%
P3
53.5%
43.7%
OT
40.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |