Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.2% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Johansen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Stamkos
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Johansen
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Johansen
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,006)
49.9% (771)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.0% (207)
55.4% (74)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
45.1% (82)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Johansen shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Johansen
Stamkos
Home
56.4% (633)
50.7% (487)
Away
48.1% (613)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Johansen
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
46.1%
P2
52.9%
52.0%
P3
51.7%
51.1%
OT
84.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |