Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 58.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Johansen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Johansen
Stamkos
Last 6: Johansen 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Johansen
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
49.3% (789)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
56.9% (181)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
54.1% (98)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Johansen shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Johansen
Stamkos
Home
54.7% (655)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.6% (658)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Johansen
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
42.1%
P2
50.7%
56.4%
P3
54.8%
53.7%
OT
53.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |