Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stamkos wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.6% vs Bozak 52.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Stamkos
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
Stamkos
Bozak
Last 10: Stamkos 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Stamkos
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
7
Stamkos
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Stamkos
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (669)
52.8% (697)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.2% (110)
50.9% (171)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
53.3% (195)
-3.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Stamkos shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Bozak
Home
52.0% (402)
52.1% (530)
Away
47.2% (417)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Stamkos
Bozak
P1
46.3%
54.1%
P2
52.4%
50.6%
P3
50.2%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |