Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 61-31 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Stamkos
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
61
(92 meetings)
31
61
Stamkos
Bozak
Last 10: Stamkos 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
14
21
Stamkos
Bozak
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
19
Stamkos
Bozak
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
21
Stamkos
Bozak
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
55.2% (1,990)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
48.0% (1,094)
+1.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Stamkos shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Bozak
Home
52.7% (6,248)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Stamkos
Bozak
P1
49.1%
53.2%
P2
52.7%
52.8%
P3
50.9%
54.5%
OT
54.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2018 | OT | 04:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |