Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Bozak 46.2% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Stamkos
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
46.7% (338)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
50.0% (6)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (98)
32.6% (43)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Stamkos shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Bozak
Home
52.0% (512)
47.9% (194)
Away
50.2% (556)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Stamkos
Bozak
P1
42.1%
40.2%
P2
56.4%
51.4%
P3
53.7%
43.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%